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17 Aug 2026

Petrified coin

BTC’s 30-day volatility has fallen to its fourth-lowest reading this decade, dropping below that of the Nasdaq. Meanwhile, volumes continue to dry up as leverage gradually inches higher. All observations point toward a large move on the horizon.
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Bitcoin remains locked in an unusually bland range, trading at $64,225 after hovering near $64,000 across the past five editions of Ahead of the Curve. The typical summer slowdown, combined with the passive trading conditions associated with late-stage bear markets, has pushed activity to new extremes. Volumes fell further from last week’s multi-year lows, while 7-day and 30-day volatility are approaching their lowest readings of the 2020s. Current holders remain reluctant to sell, while external investors remain reluctant to buy, leaving BTC virtually petrified over the summer. At the same time, leverage is gradually expanding, echoing the classic pattern where prolonged stability eventually breeds instability. The ran
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