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Ahead Of The Curve
03 Nov 2025

Inflection Point

BTC is near an important support level, and the derivatives regime is in a structure typically associated with critical inflection points, mirroring all global market bottoms over the past few years, as well as the early bear market formations from 2021.
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Inflection Point
Bitcoin has shown unusual weakness recently, falling 9% over the past week to its lowest levels since June 23, 2025, and recording its worst 30-day performance versus the Nasdaq since July 2024. This underperformance stems from constrained liquidity and widespread risk aversion following a post-October 10 deleveraging event. Fear-driven market sentiment, combined with heavy selling from long-term holders, has compounded the weakness as buyers hesitate amid perceived elevated risk.Additional downside followed the latest FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve’s 25 bps rate cut was overshadowed by policy uncertainty tied to the U.S. government shutdown. However, we expect selling pressure from older cohorts to subside and liquidation effects to ease ahead. With BTC now trading near a key technical inflection point, co
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