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Ahead Of The Curve
30 Jun 2025

The Loud Low Season

Trading volumes and volatilities have plunged to multi-month lows, with options skews neutralizing. Prolonged sideways markets raise the question of whether a typical summer lull will return, even as a busy July approaches.
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Watching paint dry
Markets have entered a lull with trading volumes at 9-month lows and volatility hitting 21-month lows, signaling a potential summer slowdown despite an active July ahead. BTC rose 1% last week but dipped early Tuesday as political developments such as Trump’s budget bill and tariff chatter has resumed. Trump aims to finalize the budget bill by July 4, while the tariff pause expires on July 9, both of which could sway BTC depending on whether fiscal expansion or trade uncertainty dominates. Additionally, reduced liquidity from the July 4 holiday may add to near-term market uncertainty and discourage traders from taking risks.
Traders remain defensive
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