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Ahead Of The Curve
10 Mar 2025

The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is NOT a nothing burger

Recession fears spark sharp de-risking, pushing NDQ and SPX to September levels while BTC approaches pre-election levels. We see a disconnect between the fundamentally bullish SBR announcement and the recent sell-off, favoring accumulation ahead.
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Global de-risking amid recession fears
Both equities and crypto markets have been hit with heavy selloffs as concerns of a fragile global economy heighten. BTC reached new yearly lows of $76,555 and saw a weekly return of -5%. ETH continues to outperform to the downside, as ETHBTC hit lows not seen since December 2020 with ETH tumbling below $2,000. Increased recession fears, Trump’s commitment to lowering 10-year bond yields, and the first swings of a bubbling trade war have pushed both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to lows not seen since mid-September.
CME yields continue downtrend, offshore trader activity sees a small spike
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