Price action has been wild since the election. Still aggressive allocation remains attractive given fruitful conditions due to the Trump trade, reflexivity, MicroStrategy hoarding, and ETF momentum. lg...more

Fundamentals and post-election clarity favor long and bold exposure. In this environment, traders should at least maintain full allocation to BTC.lg...more

The stars are again aligning as market fundamentals look increasingly favorable. BTC is entering its strongest seasonal period of the year, leaning heavily in favor of aggressive exposure. lg...more

Seasonality and rising recession fears sets the stage for a challenging month. Beyond the short term, market fundamentals are solid, and several factors point towards a positive tidal change, making September a ripe opportunity to enter with aggression. lg...more

Seasonal effects, a momentum setback, emerging correlations, and macro uncertainty point toward August stagnation. With the election coming up, we view this stagnation as an ideal period for aggressive accumulation.lg...more

My base case is that the market is due to be choppy in the coming months. Bitcoin’s clear seasonal stagnation pattern from May to September makes it hard to be affirmatively bullish in May.lg...more

Accumulate, hold, and wait. The halving and new ETF waves will occur, but a slowing block production and lengthy consolidation increase the risk of short-term adverse flushes lower, favoring long spot exposure for the time being. lg...more

The tendency of choppy conditions ahead of ATH breakouts and the exuberance in derivatives markets favors non-leveraged spot exposure. lg...more

Few near-term catalysts, continued structural adjustments, and a new bulk of GBTC outflows point towards February being a period for holding and accumulating. lg...more

After seven long months of BTC buoyancy, the date is finally here - the ETF verdict is coming! Is it priced in? Will the ETFs be approved? Will the launch be a sell-the-news event, or will inflows propel BTC higher? lg...more

December is poised to be a strong month for Bitcoin and the crypto market as a whole.lg...more

It’s hard, nearly impossible, not to remain bullish in November. An ETF verdict is nine weeks away, and institutional traders provide the only significant heater witnessed in the derivatives market. lg...more

A lackluster futures-based ETH ETF launch and a dearth of compelling narratives in Ethereum favor reduced ETH exposure. I anticipate ongoing October consolidation, extending the BTC accumulation window as medium-term fundamentals remain solid.lg...more

The market dramatically underestimates the impact of U.S. ETFs. A slow September favor strategic positioning ahead of an October packed with market-moving events. I favor a mix of increased ETH exposure and conservatively leveraged long exposure in BTClg...more

The anemic summer revives the attractiveness of straddles as we approach months filled with known knowns and unknown unknowns. Further, the slow market is promising to further build exposure as we head towards a robust cyclical period for BTC. lg...more

The resurgence of the U.S. ETF race represents a monumental change to bitcoin, with all ingredients in place for a spicy market in the coming nine months in favor of more aggressive positioning in BTC.lg...more

Now is the time to buy options with far-dated expiries and read a good book over the summer while you reinitiate your BTC accumulation. lg...more

May is shaping up to become a volatile month.lg...more

My short-term outlook has improved after a slow but SEC-heavy February and a BTC push toward $28k could happen sooner rather than later. Further, Shanghai represents attractive narrative-based opportunities in favor of increased weighing in LDO and ETH. lg...more

Short-term, I am bearish as the crypto market strength seems over-extended across multiple metrics, while a FED pivot still seems far away. Long-term, I am steadfastly bullish as BTC reclaims pre-FTX trauma levels.lg...more